Hi Rob, I had an exchange with the DoEHLG where they said they expected the full report to be uploaded next week so that we can see the detail behind the summary.
Analysis by estate by head of population is interesting though if you run the numbers of vacant housing by head of pop per LA, the results are interesting. But maybe undertaking any such work is somehow validating the survey which after all is incredibly partial.
The survey is partial if you are looking at oversupply and vacancy. It’s probably a pretty good picture of unfinished estates. Yes, it may miss out some 2005 and 2006 estates, but I suspect they will be a relatively small number as at that time things were still selling off the plans (it does also include some as, as I understand it, it is looking at estates completed in 2007 – i.e. started in 2005/06 – or unfinished at that point). It also misses one-offs, but in that situation people are not living with an unfinished estate. The DEHLG are trying to get a handle on the most problematic part of the housing market due to the various issues related to them that need addressing – health and safety, bonds and finance, building control and planning permission compliance, security, anti-social behaviour. If people take it in that context it is probably accurate. But do not conflate it with oversupply and vacancy.
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